Análisis Heracles vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
RJC
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 ene. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2017 |
HER
1 - 4
GRO
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 ene. 2017 |
RJC
4 - 0
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 ene. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |