Análisis Heracles vs Twente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2009 |
ADO
2 - 2
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 dic. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
VOL
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2009 |
TWE
2 - 1
VIT
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 dic. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 0
TWE
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2008 |
PSG
4 - 0
TWE
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 4
TWE
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |