Análisis Heracles vs Fortuna 54
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 dic. 1962 |
FEY
6 - 2
HER
85%
10%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1962 |
PSV
2 - 2
HER
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 1962 |
HER
3 - 3
WIL
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 1962 |
VVD
2 - 0
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 nov. 1962 |
HER
7 - 1
DVO
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 dic. 1962 |
FOR
1 - 0
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1962 |
FOR
3 - 2
FEY
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 nov. 1962 |
FOR
0 - 2
PSV
35%
23%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 nov. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 3
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 nov. 1962 |
FOR
1 - 2
VVD
43%
23%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |