Análisis Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
AZA
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1986 |
MVV
1 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1986 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 1986 |
SPA
6 - 1
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 1986 |
HER
0 - 0
TWE
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 1986 |
FOR
2 - 2
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1986 |
BOS
2 - 2
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1986 |
FOR
4 - 0
HFC
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 1986 |
UTR
1 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1986 |
GAE
1 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |