Análisis Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.42
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 2
HER
51%
23%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2003 |
HER
4 - 0
HFC
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 3
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 oct. 2003 |
HER
2 - 2
GRA
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 2
HER
10%
16%
75%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | +1 |
Partidos
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 3
FCO
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2003 |
TEL
4 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 4
APE
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 oct. 2003 |
VVV
7 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 oct. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 3
FCE
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |