Análisis Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2019 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
ZWO
47%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2019 |
GRO
3 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 ene. 2019 |
HAN
4 - 1
HER
49%
23%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2019 |
PSV
5 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 ene. 2019 |
FEY
4 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 1
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |