Análisis Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2010 |
AZA
3 - 2
HER
66%
20%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 1
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 2
WIL
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 2
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
FEY
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2010 |
SCH
4 - 1
NEC
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 2
RJC
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 1
NEC
67%
20%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |