Análisis Heracles vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ago. 1965 |
GRO
1 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
DWS
35%
23%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 1965 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 1965 |
HER
0 - 6
GAE
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 1965 |
ENS
1 - 0
HER
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ago. 1965 |
WIL
1 - 0
GAE
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1963 |
MUD
6 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1963 |
WIL
1 - 1
MUD
42%
22%
37%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 jun. 1963 |
ADO
1 - 1
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 jun. 1963 |
WIL
2 - 4
VOL
54%
21%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |