Análisis Heracles vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ago. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 1
HER
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 0
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
KAR
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
ARO
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
CCF
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ago. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 4
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
MLL
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 jul. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
GEN
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2016 |
WIL
8 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCO
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |