Análisis Heracles vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 2
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
VIT
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 mar. 2019 |
FCE
1 - 1
HER
24%
24%
53%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 5
UTR
33%
24%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2019 |
VVV
0 - 1
HER
42%
25%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2019 |
FEY
2 - 3
WIL
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 mar. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
GRA
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 mar. 2019 |
SCH
4 - 2
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |