Análisis Heracles vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2021 |
ADO
1 - 2
HER
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
ZWO
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 1
AZA
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2021 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 2
WIL
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |