Análisis Hercílio Luz vs Criciúma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
52.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2023 |
CRI
2 - 0
HER
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
FFL
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2023 |
FFL
0 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 mar. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
CAM
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2023 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2023 |
CRI
2 - 0
HER
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 0
AVA
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRI
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2023 |
COT
1 - 1
CRI
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |