Análisis Hércules vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2001 |
VAL
3 - 0
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2001 |
HER
1 - 0
ATB
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2001 |
ALI
2 - 2
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 may. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 0
HER
33%
30%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2001 |
HER
4 - 2
CEM
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 2001 |
ALC
1 - 1
GET
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2001 |
CDM
1 - 3
ALC
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2001 |
ALC
0 - 2
CDT
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2001 |
AVI
3 - 1
ALC
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 may. 2001 |
ALC
1 - 1
SIE
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |