Análisis Hércules vs AD Plus Ultra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1958 |
RJA
2 - 1
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1958 |
HER
5 - 1
EXT
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1958 |
LEV
4 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 1958 |
HER
5 - 1
CAD
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 1958 |
CDT
2 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1958 |
PUL
2 - 2
CCF
58%
20%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1958 |
CAA
3 - 0
PUL
41%
23%
36%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 sep. 1958 |
PUL
3 - 1
CEU
64%
18%
18%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 1958 |
MAL
0 - 0
PUL
70%
16%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1958 |
PUL
2 - 2
CDB
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |