Análisis Hércules vs Alcoyano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 1990 |
IBI
2 - 1
HER
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1990 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1990 |
OLI
3 - 1
HER
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 ene. 1990 |
GIR
1 - 1
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1990 |
ALZ
0 - 0
HER
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 1990 |
ALC
1 - 1
MHN
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1990 |
BEN
0 - 0
ALC
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 1990 |
ALC
2 - 1
OLI
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 1990 |
ALC
2 - 1
GIM
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1990 |
HOS
1 - 0
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |