Análisis Hércules vs Alcoyano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2004 |
LEV
3 - 0
HER
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
HER
2 - 1
NOV
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
FIG
1 - 3
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
AZK
0 - 3
HER
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 0
OSA
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
ALC
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
LEV
1 - 0
ALC
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
FIG
0 - 0
ALC
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |