Análisis Hércules vs Alcoyano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.5
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.1%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
4.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.46
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
HER
20%
29%
52%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 1
HER
14%
27%
58%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
FCB
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
REC
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 1
ALC
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
DEP
14%
27%
58%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIL
26%
27%
46%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
HUE
3 - 3
ALC
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |