Análisis Hércules vs Alcoyano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
HER
20%
27%
53%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
HER
3 - 0
ATB
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 0
HER
21%
28%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
HOS
55%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATB
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 0
ALC
35%
28%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
HOS
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
UES
2 - 3
ALC
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
GIM
35%
30%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |