Análisis Hércules vs Almería
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 3
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 6
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 2012 |
HER
4 - 2
GIR
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
CCF
3 - 1
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
DEP
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALM
16%
23%
61%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 0
ALM
17%
24%
59%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
XER
66%
20%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |