Análisis Hércules vs Arenas de Getxo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.49
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 1943 |
BAR
3 - 0
HER
38%
24%
39%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1943 |
HER
1 - 1
SDC
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 3
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
ALC
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 1943 |
CUL
2 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 1943 |
ARE
2 - 1
ZAR
34%
27%
38%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1943 |
ARE
3 - 1
BAR
48%
23%
28%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 1943 |
CON
7 - 0
ARE
75%
14%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 nov. 1943 |
ARE
1 - 1
SDC
46%
23%
32%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 1943 |
OSA
2 - 2
ARE
78%
13%
9%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |