Análisis Hércules vs Burgos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
ATM
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 1977 |
RMA
2 - 0
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1977 |
HER
2 - 2
FCB
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 0
HER
70%
18%
11%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 1977 |
BUR
1 - 0
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 0
BUR
72%
17%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1977 |
BUR
0 - 2
SLA
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 2
BUR
49%
28%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 feb. 1977 |
BUR
3 - 2
RMA
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |