Análisis Hércules vs FC Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.3
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ago. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
RAY
56%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
HER
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 7
CAR
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 may. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 4
RAY
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 may. 2011 |
SLA
2 - 0
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |