Análisis Hércules vs Atlético Baleares
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.39
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.6%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1951 |
SLA
4 - 2
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1951 |
HER
1 - 1
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 1951 |
ALC
5 - 2
HER
56%
21%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 1951 |
CAT
3 - 0
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1951 |
HER
5 - 0
GRA
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1951 |
ATB
3 - 2
PUL
44%
22%
34%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1951 |
SLA
1 - 0
ATB
74%
15%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 sep. 1951 |
ATB
2 - 1
LEV
38%
21%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 may. 1951 |
ATB
4 - 1
CAT
83%
10%
7%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 1951 |
MNC
1 - 0
ATB
54%
20%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |