Análisis Hércules vs CD Guadalajara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2012 |
SAB
1 - 2
HER
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 4
RMC
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
HER
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
FCB
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
PON
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
XER
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 4
RMC
28%
26%
47%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2012 |
ALM
4 - 0
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |