Análisis Hércules vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.6
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1965 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1965 |
HER
2 - 1
CEU
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1965 |
ONT
1 - 2
HER
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 feb. 1965 |
HER
2 - 1
VAD
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1965 |
HER
2 - 0
CDT
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1965 |
HOS
2 - 0
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1965 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEL
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 1965 |
CEL
3 - 1
BUR
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 feb. 1965 |
CDO
0 - 0
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 0
RUN
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |