Análisis Hércules vs Cieza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.3%
Probabilidad gana
3.35
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
9.9%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+57%
+51%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 1960 |
ALI
2 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1960 |
HER
7 - 0
AGU
86%
9%
5%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1960 |
ALM
1 - 1
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1960 |
HER
2 - 1
ORI
85%
10%
5%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1960 |
CRE
0 - 2
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 1960 |
CIE
3 - 1
RAY
72%
16%
13%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1960 |
LOR
1 - 1
CIE
72%
16%
13%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1960 |
CIE
3 - 1
CFC
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 mar. 1960 |
VIJ
4 - 1
CIE
50%
20%
29%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 mar. 1960 |
CIE
3 - 2
IMP
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |