Análisis Hércules vs Constància
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+30%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 1965 |
ALG
1 - 0
HER
36%
28%
35%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1965 |
HER
3 - 3
VAD
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1965 |
MEL
1 - 2
HER
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1965 |
BAD
1 - 4
HER
41%
24%
36%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1965 |
HER
0 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 1965 |
CON
0 - 0
CDB
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1965 |
MUR
2 - 1
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 oct. 1965 |
CON
3 - 0
RAY
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 1965 |
CON
1 - 2
OVI
34%
25%
42%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 1965 |
CEU
3 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |