Análisis Hércules vs Constància
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1968 |
REC
1 - 0
HER
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1968 |
HER
2 - 1
XER
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1968 |
VAL
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 1968 |
HER
6 - 0
CEU
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 1968 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1968 |
CON
0 - 2
MLL
26%
29%
44%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1968 |
ALC
2 - 2
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1968 |
CON
0 - 3
CAD
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 1968 |
LEV
1 - 1
CON
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 1968 |
CON
0 - 3
PUE
37%
28%
36%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |