Análisis Hércules vs Elche
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+30%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 1929 |
HER
0 - 3
LOR
82%
12%
7%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1929 |
CAR
4 - 0
HER
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
Partidos
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 1929 |
ELC
2 - 5
CAR
78%
14%
9%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1929 |
UDA
1 - 1
ELC
29%
24%
48%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 dic. 1928 |
ELC
0 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -3 |
| 23 dic. 1928 |
CAS
5 - 0
ELC
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |