Análisis Hércules vs Elche
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
CAD
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
HER
3 - 2
BET
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 1
HER
29%
26%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2009 |
ELC
3 - 0
CCF
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
LEV
2 - 1
ELC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
ELC
2 - 2
SLA
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
NUM
4 - 1
ELC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 sep. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
ELC
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |