Análisis Hércules vs Elche
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ago. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
HER
18%
26%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
21%
25%
55%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2012 |
HER
1 - 5
GRA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2012 |
NUC
2 - 4
HER
9%
20%
71%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
Partidos
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2012 |
ELC
4 - 2
PON
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 3
ALM
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
ELC
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2012 |
ELD
0 - 4
ELC
7%
17%
76%
|
72 | 26 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 3
ELC
7%
17%
76%
|
72 | 15 | 57 | 0 |