Segunda División Jor. 16

Análisis Hércules vs Girona

Hércules Girona
82 ELO 65
19.6% Tilt -10.2%
3363º Ranking ELO general 162º
78º Ranking ELO país 12º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
75.7%
Hércules
15.4%
Empate
8.8%
Girona

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Hércules
2.47
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Girona
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Hércules
-17%
-18%
Girona

Progresión del ELO

Hércules
Girona
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 dic. 2009
CCF
Córdoba CF
1 - 1
Hércules
HER
36%
27%
37%
82 71 11 0
28 nov. 2009
HER
Hércules
2 - 1
Levante
LEV
64%
21%
16%
81 77 4 +1
22 nov. 2009
SLA
UD Salamanca
0 - 0
Hércules
HER
37%
27%
36%
81 74 7 0
15 nov. 2009
HER
Hércules
1 - 0
Numancia
NUM
65%
20%
15%
81 77 4 0
12 nov. 2009
ALM
Almería
0 - 1
Hércules
HER
56%
25%
20%
81 84 3 0

Partidos

Girona
Girona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 dic. 2009
GIR
Girona
1 - 2
Celta
CEL
30%
28%
42%
66 76 10 0
29 nov. 2009
CCF
Córdoba CF
2 - 2
Girona
GIR
60%
22%
18%
66 71 5 0
21 nov. 2009
GIR
Girona
4 - 0
Cádiz
CAD
35%
28%
38%
64 70 6 +2
14 nov. 2009
LEV
Levante
3 - 2
Girona
GIR
69%
19%
12%
65 78 13 -1
08 nov. 2009
GIR
Girona
3 - 1
Villarreal B
VIL
49%
26%
26%
64 62 2 +1