Análisis Hércules vs Girona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2012 |
CCF
3 - 1
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
GIM
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
HER
5 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
SAB
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
DEP
23%
28%
50%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
GIR
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
HUE
2 - 1
GIR
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
GIR
5 - 3
XER
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 mar. 2012 |
UDL
3 - 2
GIR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |