Segunda División Jor. 4

Análisis Hércules vs Girona

Hércules Girona
77 ELO 71
14.6% Tilt -10.3%
2421º Ranking ELO general 48º
75º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
59.3%
Hércules
22%
Empate
18.6%
Girona

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Hércules
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Girona
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Hércules
-7%
-9%
Girona

Progresión del ELO

Hércules
Girona
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 sep. 2012
ALC
Alcorcón
1 - 0
Hércules
HER
44%
27%
29%
77 75 2 0
26 ago. 2012
HER
Hércules
1 - 2
Elche
ELC
59%
22%
19%
77 73 4 0
18 ago. 2012
LUG
CD Lugo
1 - 0
Hércules
HER
18%
26%
56%
78 58 20 -1
11 ago. 2012
ALC
Alcoyano
1 - 0
Hércules
HER
21%
25%
55%
78 58 20 0
04 ago. 2012
HER
Hércules
1 - 5
Granada
GRA
56%
23%
21%
78 78 0 0

Partidos

Girona
Girona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 sep. 2012
GIR
Girona
1 - 0
Ponferradina
PON
56%
25%
20%
71 68 3 0
25 ago. 2012
GUA
CD Guadalajara
1 - 5
Girona
GIR
31%
26%
43%
70 63 7 +1
18 ago. 2012
GIR
Girona
0 - 0
CE Sabadell
SAB
70%
19%
11%
71 60 11 -1
11 ago. 2012
PAL
Palamós
0 - 2
Girona
GIR
8%
17%
75%
71 25 46 0
04 ago. 2012
GIR
Girona
5 - 1
Villarreal B
VIL
57%
22%
21%
71 67 4 0