Análisis Hércules vs Granada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 1966 |
CON
2 - 2
HER
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1966 |
HER
2 - 2
ALG
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1966 |
VAD
1 - 3
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 1966 |
HER
1 - 0
MEL
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1966 |
VAL
1 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 1966 |
GRA
3 - 0
CDB
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1966 |
RAC
1 - 0
GRA
63%
20%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 1966 |
MUR
1 - 0
GRA
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 feb. 1966 |
GRA
3 - 2
RAY
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 1966 |
CEU
2 - 1
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |