Análisis Hércules vs CD Logroñés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.63
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 1981 |
HER
2 - 0
ESP
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1980 |
HER
1 - 0
MUR
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1980 |
SEV
0 - 0
HER
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1980 |
HER
1 - 2
ATH
36%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1980 |
ALM
0 - 3
HER
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 1981 |
LOG
1 - 0
RCF
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1980 |
CUL
4 - 1
LOG
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 1980 |
LOG
3 - 0
ENS
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 dic. 1980 |
ALC
1 - 0
LOG
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 dic. 1980 |
LOG
2 - 0
SSC
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |