Análisis Hércules vs Mataró
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
48%
28%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2001 |
GAN
0 - 0
HER
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
MLL
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 2001 |
ALZ
0 - 1
HER
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Mataró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2001 |
CEM
3 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2001 |
CEM
1 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2001 |
NOV
3 - 0
CEM
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 abr. 2001 |
CEM
1 - 0
GAN
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2001 |
MLL
5 - 0
CEM
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |