Análisis Hércules vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
CSP
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ELD
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2022 |
NUC
1 - 0
HER
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
CDE
56%
25%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 2
ELD
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2022 |
NUC
2 - 0
MEL
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 0
MEL
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 0
CDE
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 1
MEL
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |