Análisis Hércules vs Mirandés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 2013 |
REC
0 - 2
HER
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
HUE
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
CCF
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 0
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 0
PON
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
MIR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2013 |
MIR
2 - 0
SAB
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
RMC
6 - 1
MIR
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 0
ALM
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |