Análisis Hércules vs Novelda CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 1995 |
HER
2 - 1
ALM
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1995 |
VIL
0 - 6
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 1995 |
NOV
0 - 0
HER
19%
26%
55%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1995 |
HER
4 - 0
CDT
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 oct. 1995 |
SSC
1 - 2
HER
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 1995 |
NOV
1 - 1
BEN
37%
30%
33%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1995 |
ELC
0 - 2
NOV
69%
21%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 oct. 1995 |
NOV
2 - 0
UTR
59%
25%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 1995 |
NOV
0 - 0
HER
19%
26%
55%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 oct. 1995 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |