Análisis Hércules vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 1997 |
OSA
2 - 1
HER
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1997 |
HER
1 - 1
LEV
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1997 |
ALA
1 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1997 |
HER
1 - 3
LEG
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 1997 |
ATB
3 - 1
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 1997 |
NUM
1 - 1
XER
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1997 |
NUM
0 - 0
OSA
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1997 |
RJA
1 - 0
NUM
43%
30%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 dic. 1997 |
NUM
3 - 1
LEV
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 nov. 1997 |
CDO
1 - 1
NUM
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |