Análisis Hércules vs Ponferradina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2014 |
MLL
0 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
REC
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2014 |
RMC
4 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
CDT
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2014 |
ZAR
0 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2014 |
PON
0 - 2
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2014 |
SAB
1 - 1
PON
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2014 |
PON
0 - 1
CCF
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |