Primera División Jor. 13

Análisis Hércules vs Real Madrid

Hércules Real Madrid
78 ELO 89
-4.6% Tilt -2.4%
3136º Ranking ELO general
97º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
33.1%
Hércules
23.9%
Empate
42.9%
Real Madrid

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
33.1%
Probabilidad gana
Hércules
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.9%
Probabilidad gana
Real Madrid
1.63
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Hércules
+24%
+2%
Real Madrid

Progresión del ELO

Hércules
Real Madrid
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 dic. 1940
MUR
Real Murcia
0 - 0
Hércules
HER
32%
24%
44%
78 61 17 0
08 dic. 1940
CEL
Celta
2 - 0
Hércules
HER
54%
19%
27%
79 73 6 -1
01 dic. 1940
HER
Hércules
3 - 0
Real Oviedo
OVI
46%
22%
33%
78 80 2 +1
24 nov. 1940
ESP
Espanyol
1 - 2
Hércules
HER
68%
17%
15%
78 82 4 0
17 nov. 1940
HER
Hércules
3 - 3
Atlético
ATM
49%
22%
29%
78 81 3 0

Partidos

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 dic. 1940
RMA
Real Madrid
6 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
83%
11%
6%
89 75 14 0
08 dic. 1940
RMA
Real Madrid
6 - 1
Valencia
VCF
74%
14%
11%
88 78 10 +1
01 dic. 1940
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
40%
23%
36%
89 82 7 -1
24 nov. 1940
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 1
Athletic
ATH
65%
18%
17%
89 86 3 0
17 nov. 1940
RMA
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
73%
15%
12%
89 82 7 0
X