Análisis Hércules vs Real Murcia Imperial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.65
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.4%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1970 |
SEV
1 - 1
HER
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 1
HER
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 1970 |
HER
4 - 0
ILI
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1969 |
CAL
2 - 1
HER
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 1969 |
HER
2 - 0
MAN
84%
12%
5%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1970 |
OBE
2 - 0
IMP
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1970 |
GAN
2 - 1
IMP
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 ene. 1970 |
IMP
1 - 1
NOV
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1969 |
IMP
4 - 2
RJA
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 1969 |
ILI
0 - 3
IMP
27%
28%
45%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |