Copa de la Liga de España 1/16
Global 1-9
Análisis Hércules vs Real Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 1985 |
HER
2 - 0
RAC
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1985 |
MUR
7 - 0
HER
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 1985 |
ATH
4 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 1985 |
HER
1 - 0
FCB
20%
27%
52%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +2 |
| 31 mar. 1985 |
HER
2 - 1
VAD
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 1985 |
MUR
2 - 1
ELC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1985 |
MUR
7 - 0
HER
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 1985 |
ZAR
3 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1985 |
MUR
3 - 1
RAC
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 1985 |
RMA
5 - 0
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |