Análisis Hércules vs Real Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 2
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2009 |
HER
4 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 2
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2009 |
HER
4 - 2
LEV
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
RAY
1 - 0
HER
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2009 |
ELC
1 - 1
MUR
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 4
ZAR
33%
28%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
UDL
0 - 1
MUR
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2009 |
MUR
2 - 0
RSO
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
LEV
2 - 1
MUR
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |