Análisis Hércules vs Real Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
68.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.11
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 2
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
MIR
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2013 |
REC
0 - 2
HER
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 may. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
HUE
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 2
PON
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
MUR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
SAB
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2013 |
RMC
2 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALM
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |