Análisis Hércules vs Deportivo Aragón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 2004 |
RCD
3 - 0
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
HER
0 - 0
CAS
49%
28%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
GIR
2 - 0
HER
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
BEN
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
HER
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 1
OSA
51%
28%
22%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 2
ZAR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
ZAR
1 - 0
LEV
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 2
ZAR
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 0
FIG
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |