Análisis Hércules vs Real Zaragoza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.3
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 1936 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1936 |
HER
2 - 0
SEV
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 may. 1936 |
HER
4 - 2
SEV
45%
22%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 may. 1936 |
SEV
3 - 1
HER
66%
18%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 1936 |
HER
2 - 2
FCB
22%
21%
57%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 1936 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1936 |
ZAR
3 - 0
MUR
65%
18%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 may. 1936 |
MUR
2 - 0
ZAR
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 1936 |
ZAR
5 - 0
GIR
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 1936 |
ARE
2 - 0
ZAR
53%
21%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |