Análisis Hércules vs Real Zaragoza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.6%
Empate
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 1974 |
RMA
2 - 1
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1974 |
HER
2 - 2
MUR
51%
28%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1974 |
OSA
1 - 2
HER
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 may. 1974 |
HER
2 - 0
CCF
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 may. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 0
HER
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1974 |
ZAR
3 - 1
VCF
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1974 |
VST
1 - 1
ZAR
79%
15%
7%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1974 |
SPO
2 - 0
ZAR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1974 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATM
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 jun. 1974 |
ATM
2 - 0
ZAR
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |